Wild Horse Nine: Online Sportsbooks Featuring Oscars Odds

Martin McDonagh's new film Wild Horse Nine has been one of the most highly-anticipated new movies of 2026, and it finally hit theaters in early November. If you're looking for Wild Horse Nine betting odds or want to find out how to bet on Wild Horse Nine to win an Oscar, you've come to the right place.

We've written previously about Wild Horse Nine's Rotten Tomatoes score odds, and at that time, the odds anticipated overwhelmingly positive reviews for the film, with Kalshi placing their betting odds at 80% to score above a 90. The verdict? Wild Horse Nine is currently rated a 94% on the Tomatometer. On the other hand, Metacritic's Metascore for the movie is at 77 right now based on over 50 reviews, so there is some push-back among movie critics.

While many sportsbooks like FanDuel offer a complete array of Oscars betting odds once the nominees have been announced, these betting apps rarely if ever offer any Oscars markets beforehand. On prediction markets like Kalshi, however, you can place bets on the 2027 Oscars right now. This is only recommended for bettors who have done plenty of research on the topic; we don't recommend betting on the Oscars if you can't afford to lose your bet.

Let's take a look at the latest betting odds for Wild Horse Nine to win or be nominated for Best Picture at the Academy Awards:

Since its release, Wild Horse Nine has been jockeying with La Bola Negra for second position among potential Best Picture nominees behind The Odyssey, which currently leads the pack. But while Wild Horse Nine is a near-lock right now to earn a nomination for Best Picture, their odds of winning the big trophy are the more interesting conversation.

Wild Horse Nine's odds to win Best Picture are very insignificant at the time of this writing. Kalshi's trading odds have been favoring blockbuster movies in their Oscars betting odds so far this year, and The Odyssey is currently dominating the oddsboard with Dune: Part Three not far behind. But the Oscar for Best Picture doesn't always go to a movie that had a huge budget or broke records at the box office. 

There's value here if you're open to trading on Best Picture winner and selling your contract later in the winter. As you'll see later on this page, Wild Horse Nine has a great chance to be nominated for Best Picture, and also to potentially earn wins for Best Actor and Best Original Screenplay. A movie that has such great odds to win those two awards is much more likely to win Best Picture than 2%, in my opinion.

I'm not sure I'd recommend betting on Wild Horse Nine to win Best Picture if you aren't willing to monitor the trade and sell once you've picked up some value, but it could be a way to win a few bucks on your trade.

Trailers for Wild Horse Nine have been playing in theaters for what feels like an entire year — a movie with this title probably wasn't easy to market. But Searchlight leaned hard into selling the film as a buddy-cop black comedy with CIA agents, showing the sense of humor through lead actor John Malkovich and supporting actor Sam Rockwell.

That's not exactly what the movie is like, and it's certainly not the extent of the lead actor's role in it. John Malkovich is haunting in this movie despite being hilarious as a CIA agent approaching the end of his life. That Malkovich's voice has changed a bit as he's aged adds so much color to his character, especially as he drops one darkly hilarious line after another. "I've killed people in countries you can't even spell."

But is this the type of performance that can win Malkovich an Oscar for Best Actor?

The Academy Award for Best Actor is wide open this year. Malkovich is currently first on the oddsboard among all actors, making him the most likely to win the award right now. And with several other actors chipping in with small-percentage chances of their own, you could earn some money on a Malkovich win if you're willing to trade a couple units.

The Academy loves to honor legendary actors and actresses toward the end of their career if they deliver an award-worthy performance, and especially because Malkovich has not yet won an Oscar in his career, he stands out as a clear favorite to win the award.

One quirk of Wild Horse Nine's Oscars odds is that Sam Rockwell, who's in the film practically just as long as John Malkovich, is being floated for Best Supporting Actor while Malkovich gets the Best Actor distinction. It makes more sense that Malkovich is the lead as the story unfolds, but it's definitely some creative marketing.

Nonetheless, Sam Rockwell is in good shape to earn a nomination for Best Supporting Actor for his portrayal of Lee in Wild Horse Nine.

While the odds are solid for Sam Rockwell to be nominated for Best Supporting Actor, his competition in this category is pretty fierce. Five actors will be nominated, and they're very likely to include Paul Giamatti for his role in The Debut and Andrew Garfield for his portrayal of Sam Altman in Artificial — yes, he's vying for a supporting actor nod. That leaves three spots for Rockwell, Guitarricadelafuente from La Bola Negra, Robert Pattinson and John Leguizamo for The Odyssey, John Goodman for Digger and several more.

Given the depth and star power among the actors up for Best Supporting Actor at this year's Oscars, a bet on Sam Rockwell in Wild Horse Nine may be tough to justify.

The odds that Martin McDonagh will secure a Best Director nomination at this year's Oscars look similar to Rockwell's odds in the previous category — strong odds to get a nomination, slim odds to win.

McDonagh was nominated for Best Director in 2023 for his work at the helm of Banshees of Inisherin, which not only provides precedent for McDonagh to earn a nomination, but shows it can be done directing a film that's not as technically complex as The Odyssey or Dune: Part Three.

It's only one moviegoer's opinion, but McDonagh's odds to earn a nomination for Best Director here stick out to me. While Christopher Nolan and Denis Villenueve are likely nominees, the names vying for the presumed three remaining slots aren't overwhelming. 

Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim are prime candidates for their film You Can See Everything, but it's not clear how the academy will view such a unique film. I assumed Pawel Pawlikowski would be a contender for Fatherland, but he has odds around 5% at the time of writing. Best Director alums Alejandro González Iñárritu and David Fincher didn't exactly put out Best Director-worthy films. Considering the competition, Martin McDonagh could have some trade value as a nominee for Best Director.

Wild Horse Nine's best chance to win an Oscar isn't John Malkovich for Best Actor — it's Martin McDonagh for Best Original Screenplay. The Academy love McDonagh as a nominee in this category; he's earned nods for The Banshees of Inisherin, Three Billboards, and In Bruges. McDonagh's movies are clever, dialogue-heavy, and blend humor and high stakes in a way that's made him one of the most decorated screenwriters of our time.

So, can Martin McDonagh finally win his first Oscar for Best Original Screenplay this year?

I can't think of a single movie this year that stands as a true contender to Wild Horse Nine to win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay, but that can change as more films are released and public opinion blends with critical reception. If I were a voter, Camp Miasma and Rose of Nevada would be on the list, but neither carries odds above 0% right now. This category is wide open for McDonagh to win his first Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.