NFL First Coach Fired Odds: Pressure Mounts in the NFC East

The NFC Least proved worthy of its moniker this week, coming out of the weekend with 0 wins, despite two of the teams playing each other.

The week's two biggest coaching disaster classes belonged to Dan Quinn and Nick Sirianni, whose teams both suffered absolutely heartbreaking results in the final seconds, despite seemingly having the victory in hand. It's no surprise, to see them rise to the top of the market, with Todd Bowles and Jim Harbaugh still very much in the mix. 

A clear final four looks to be cemented, so let's dig into the first coach fired odds for Week 6.

Source: Kalshi, October 13, 2026 | Volume: $56,909 | Settles By: Feb. 15, 2027

In one of the young season's most memorable lowlights, Quinn's Commanders snatched a tie from the jaws of victory on Sunday.

Washington moved to 1-3-1 after somehow turning a potential game-winning field goal against the Giants into a 27-27 tie. With the Commanders already in range and the clock winding down in overtime, Washington failed to stop the clock and never even got its field goal unit onto the field. Quinn took full responsibility the following day, calling it a breakdown that "can't happen."

Although it could be argued that the blame lies with Jayden Daniels, mistakes like this are often indicative of a poorly coached team.

One bad season after an NFC Championship Game run was easy enough to excuse. Following that up with a 1-3-1 start, capped by a coaching mistake that directly cost your team a win, is a different story.

Washington now gets San Francisco before its bye. So Quinn draws a poor hand, facing the NFL's best team in the spot where NFL front offices often make the decision to pull the plug. 

The "Dead Man Walking" title is starting to look more and more appropriate here.

It was a bottle job truly worthy of Tottenham Stadium.

Nick Sirianni is the newest name near the top of the board, and Week 5 gave bettors a pretty obvious reason to put him there.

A very banged-up Philadelphia team appeared to steal a win from Jacksonville in London before Sirianni decided against simply kicking the ball through the end zone with eight seconds remaining. Ameer Abdullah returned the ensuing kickoff 53 yards, and Cam Little drilled a 57-yard field goal to hand the Eagles a 19-17 loss. 

This was after an offensive drive with questionable playcalling where the Eagles passed several times, killing the clock, instead of keeping the ball on the ground. 

Sirianni didn't dodge the blame in the post-game press conference either, simply saying, "I cost us that game." Unlike Quinn, there's not really a player on the team you can point to either.

That's now three straight losses for an Eagles team that has fallen to 2-3, less than two years removed from a Super Bowl win. The team has fallen below .500 for the first time since 2021.

Sirianni has considerably more recent success to fall back on than most coaches on this list, so firing him in October would still be a dramatic move. 

But if your biggest responsibility is managing the game, you really can't be the reason your team loses it.

The Eagles come back to London and get the Panthers at home before a trio of divisional matchups before their bye. If things don't turn around quickly, Sirianni could get in serious trouble.

Todd Bowles finally gets to take a breath. After opening the season 0-4 and becoming the runaway favorite in this market for a few weeks, Tampa Bay went into Dallas with undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels at quarterback and came away with a 24-16 win.

It wasn't some fluky escape either. The Bucs put up 419 yards of offense, including 241 on the ground, and looked far more competent than the team that spent September finding new ways to lose.

That win doesn't suddenly erase everything that came before it. Tampa Bay is still 1-4, Bowles survived last season's collapse while five assistants were fired around him, and there are only so many scapegoats left if things fall apart again.

Still, his odds falling from 47% to 24% makes sense. For the first time all year, the Bucs actually gave him something positive to point to with a signature win.

Tampa gets Pittsburgh at home in Week 6. If they can string together another win or two before Baker Mayfield's return, Bowles may buy himself the rest of the season.

Jim Harbaugh was a speculative addition to our list a few weeks ago, but an 0-5 record makes him a little harder to dismiss.

The Chargers fell to 0-5 with a 23-17 loss to Denver, and once again, Harbaugh found himself answering for a decision that helped swing the game. Going for it on fourth down from his own 41 handed Denver a short field for the game-tying touchdown, and Harbaugh later took full responsibility.

We've been skeptical of his chances of actually being fired because of what he's accomplished in throughout his career. Two straight 11-win seasons in LA preceded by a Natty at Michigan should buy him time.

But at some point, 0-5 is 0-5, and the Chargers have quite easily been the biggest disappointment in the NFL this season.

The Chargers now head to Kansas City, so 0-6 is very much on the table. If that happens, Harbaugh's 17% price is only going to go up.

A midseason firing still feels unlikely to us, but he's justifiably in the conversation at this point.